Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | VT -9.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -6.2 (-0.2) | 130.5 (+21.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.1 (-0.1) | 131.2 (+20.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -6.0 (-0.0) | 132.7 (+19.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -5.9 (+0.1) | 132.0 (+20.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | VT 89 – 76 ND |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VT 65 – 63 ND |
| Mar 9, 2024 | VT 82 – 76 ND |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ND 74 – 66 VT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | VT 67 – 64 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#28) | 6.5 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#110) | 1.46 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#98) | 1.79 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#115) | 0.581 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.