Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +5 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -0.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -0.3 (-4.7) | 159.0 (+16.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -0.6 (-5.6) | 156.2 (+18.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -0.3 (-5.3) | 156.1 (+18.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -0.2 (-5.2) | 155.6 (+19.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#244) | -0.5 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#242) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#261) | -0.07 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#219) | 0.495 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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