Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -4.4 (-2.4) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.8 (-4.8) | 147.5 (+2.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.7 (-4.7) | 148.9 (+1.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.4 (-5.4) | 150.1 (-0.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#132) | 0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#70) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#89) | -0.27 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#102) | 0.487 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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