Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -4.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.5 (+16.5) | 154.5 (-10.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.5 (+15.5) | 152.4 (-8.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.6 (+15.6) | 152.7 (-8.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.0 (+16.0) | 153.3 (-9.3) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#293) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#285) | -0.09 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#282) | -0.24 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#318) | 0.526 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.