Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.0 Push |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +3 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -5.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -5.2 (+2.2) | 127.2 (-22.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -5.7 (+2.7) | 130.2 (-25.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -4.4 (+1.4) | 129.9 (-24.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -3.6 (+0.6) | 129.4 (-24.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JAX 85 – 61 UNF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JAX 63 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNF 77 – 73 JAX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UNF 81 – 78 JAX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JAX 62 – 50 UNF |
Game Analysis
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