Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · January 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -11.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual M-OH +8 132 Lost
Massey M-OH -11.4 (+3.4) — —
Massey Totals — 150.4 (-18.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -9.9 (+1.9) 144.2 (-12.2) 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -9.3 (+1.3) 148.7 (-16.7) 19% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -9.3 (+1.3) 148.7 (-16.7) 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -10.1 (+2.1) 148.4 (-16.4) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 M-OH 69 – 67 WMU
Jan 7, 2026 M-OH 87 – 76 WMU
Feb 15, 2025 WMU 78 – 70 M-OH
Jan 11, 2025 M-OH 91 – 71 WMU
Feb 21, 2024 WMU 77 – 58 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU M-OH
Overall 8-23 14-18
Conference 4-16 8-12
Home 4-10 9-8
Away 2-13 5-9
Neutral 2-0 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.0 73.8
Avg Pts Against 76.2 76.0
Massey -13.5 (#342) 1.8 (#135)
Bradley-Terry -1.55 (#290) -0.67 (#237)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.96 (#293) -0.53 (#211)
RPI 0.451 (#262) 0.442 (#279)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU M-OH
FG% 41.5% 43.7%
3PT% 30.4% 34.3%
REB / G 34.3 35.9
OREB / G 10.5 10.5
AST / TO 0.61 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 51.1%
TOV% 23.9% 13.8%
ORB% 29.7% 28.1%
FT Rate 16.2% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 16.9%
DRB% 67.1% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.6% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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