He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · January 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -14.5 Away covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money M-OH -1350 / WMU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +11 163 Won
Massey M-OH -17.9 (-6.9)
Massey Totals 165.0 (-2.0)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -16.0 (-5.0) 156.5 (+6.5) 88%
Model 4 ML M-OH -15.0 (-4.0) 157.5 (+5.5) 88%
Model 3 ML M-OH -15.1 (-4.1) 155.3 (+7.7) 88%
Baseline ML M-OH -15.2 (-4.2) 154.5 (+8.5) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 M-OH 6967 WMU
Feb 15, 2025 WMU 7870 M-OH
Jan 11, 2025 M-OH 9171 WMU
Feb 21, 2024 WMU 7758 M-OH
Jan 3, 2024 WMU 8374 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH WMU
Overall 32-2 10-21
Conference 18-0 4-14
Home 16-0 7-8
Away 14-0 3-13
Neutral 2-2 0-0
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 86.3 73.9
Avg Pts Against 76.5 80.1
Massey 7.0 (#91) -7.0 (#272)
Bradley-Terry 3.46 (#15) -0.63 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.53 (#19) -0.91 (#227)
RPI 0.549 (#91) 0.463 (#243)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH WMU
FG% 49.9% 44.0%
3PT% 39.9% 33.6%
REB / G 34.2 37.6
OREB / G 7.9 11.1
AST / TO 1.38 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.1% 50.1%
TOV% 16.0% 18.7%
ORB% 25.3% 31.1%
FT Rate 30.4% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 13.2%
DRB% 74.5% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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