Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +26 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KU -12.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.8 (+15.2) | 142.6 (+1.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -10.6 (+15.4) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.4 (+15.6) | 144.0 (+0.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.5 (+15.5) | 142.8 (+1.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WVU 86 – 75 KU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WVU 91 – 85 KU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KU 78 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KU 76 – 74 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 19-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#11) | 9.2 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#8) | 2.83 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.19 (#4) | 3.35 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#4) | 0.617 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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