Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -4.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.8 (+2.2) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.7 (+2.3) | 140.8 (-14.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -3.3 (+2.7) | 142.9 (-16.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -3.9 (+2.1) | 141.8 (-15.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LONG 86 – 66 GWEB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LONG 91 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | LONG 90 – 77 GWEB |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GWEB 92 – 87 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | GWEB 72 – 69 LONG |
Game Analysis
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