Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -150 LONG +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -1.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -0.1 (+3.1) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.7 (+1.3) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -0.8 (+2.2) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -1.0 (+2.0) | 148.8 (-7.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LONG 86 – 66 GWEB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LONG 91 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | LONG 90 – 77 GWEB |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GWEB 92 – 87 LONG |
| Jan 25, 2024 | GWEB 76 – 64 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#206) | -0.8 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | -0.52 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#212) | -0.64 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#133) | 0.481 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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