Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +600 LONG -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -11.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -10.4 (-9.6) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -11.2 (-8.8) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -10.9 (-9.1) | 140.1 (+11.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -11.0 (-9.0) | 142.3 (+9.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LONG 91 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | LONG 90 – 77 GWEB |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GWEB 92 – 87 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | GWEB 72 – 69 LONG |
| Jan 25, 2024 | GWEB 76 – 64 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 3-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -22.0 (#363) | -7.1 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#360) | -1.42 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.61 (#360) | -1.77 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#351) | 0.417 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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