Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -7.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.9 (+0.1) | 149.0 (+10.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.0 (+0.0) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.0 (-0.0) | 151.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.3 (+0.7) | 150.9 (+8.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#108) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#98) | 1.26 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#91) | 1.52 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.559 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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