Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +35 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -9.9 (+25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -9.4 (+25.6) | 146.3 (+28.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -7.6 (+27.4) | 148.1 (+26.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -7.5 (+27.5) | 148.6 (+26.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -8.4 (+26.6) | 147.9 (+27.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | -13.4 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#214) | -2.49 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#236) | -2.98 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#257) | 0.400 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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