Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -15.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -14.2 (-3.2) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -14.5 (-3.5) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -14.2 (-3.2) | 144.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -14.5 (-3.5) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
Game Analysis
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