Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -270 FAU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -3.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -3.9 (+5.1) | 162.3 (+6.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.7 (+6.3) | 160.8 (+8.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.0 (+5.0) | 158.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -4.1 (+4.9) | 159.1 (+9.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
| Mar 12, 2023 | FAU 78 – 56 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | 3.5 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | 0.53 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#122) | 0.68 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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