Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | FAU +115 UAB -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -2.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.7 (+18.3) | 152.1 (-18.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -4.5 (+17.5) | 152.6 (-18.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -3.8 (+18.2) | 151.8 (-17.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -4.4 (+17.6) | 153.2 (-19.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 14-6 |
| Home | 17-0 | 17-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#24) | 10.0 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#11) | 1.67 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#24) | 2.09 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#13) | 0.560 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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