Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -185 FAU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -3.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -2.0 (-7.0) | 157.0 (-10.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.3 (-7.3) | 154.9 (-7.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -2.3 (-7.3) | 153.0 (-6.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -2.8 (-7.8) | 153.9 (-6.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
| Mar 12, 2023 | FAU 78 – 56 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#102) | 6.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#133) | 0.89 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#122) | 1.26 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.570 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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