Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -2000 UAB +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -20.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -15.0 (-2.0) | 156.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -14.7 (-1.7) | 155.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -15.2 (-2.2) | 154.5 (+4.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -16.3 (-3.3) | 155.6 (+3.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Mar 12, 2023 | FAU 78 – 56 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#21) | -2.0 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#40) | 0.59 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#40) | 0.29 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#22) | 0.531 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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