Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -145 UAB +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -7.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -5.9 (-10.9) | 162.5 (-5.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.1 (-10.1) | 162.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -5.1 (-10.1) | 163.4 (-6.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.1 (-11.1) | 161.1 (-4.1) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
| Mar 12, 2023 | FAU 78 – 56 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#97) | 1.8 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#97) | -0.91 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#85) | -0.94 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#53) | 0.445 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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