I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
New Mexico Lobos
63 – 71
FINAL Conference
Boise State Broncos
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · January 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -9.0 Home covered
O/U 145.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual BOIS +8 134 Lost
Massey BOIS -8.0 (+0.0) — —
Massey Totals — 146.6 (-12.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 28% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -9.1 (+1.1) 142.7 (-8.7) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -7.2 (-0.8) 145.7 (-11.7) 23% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -7.0 (-1.0) 145.5 (-11.5) 21% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -7.7 (-0.3) 144.3 (-10.3) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 BOIS 91 – 90 UNM
Dec 31, 2025 BOIS 62 – 53 UNM
Mar 15, 2025 BOIS 72 – 69 UNM
Feb 20, 2025 BOIS 86 – 78 UNM
Jan 18, 2025 UNM 84 – 65 BOIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM BOIS
Overall 13-19 27-8
Conference 5-12 15-3
Home 11-7 13-3
Away 2-9 9-3
Neutral 0-3 5-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.7 67.7
Avg Pts Against 76.7 61.0
Massey -1.4 (#199) 10.5 (#37)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#196) 1.42 (#69)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#190) 1.91 (#65)
RPI 0.490 (#187) 0.574 (#62)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM BOIS
FG% 41.6% 44.4%
3PT% 33.0% 32.7%
REB / G 35.6 37.4
OREB / G 10.5 11.4
AST / TO 1.06 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 50.7%
TOV% 16.0% 19.7%
ORB% 26.4% 32.9%
FT Rate 27.1% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 44.3%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 20.5%
DRB% 69.0% 78.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.2% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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