Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -0.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.1 (-7.9) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.4 (-8.4) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.2 (-8.2) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.0 (-8.0) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#233) | 0.4 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#233) | 0.19 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#222) | 0.22 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#233) | 0.492 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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