Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +1 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -4.3 (+5.3) | 148.2 (+28.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -2.7 (+3.7) | 143.7 (+33.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.3 (+3.3) | 143.5 (+33.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -2.0 (+3.0) | 146.7 (+30.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
Game Analysis
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