Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -5.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -2.1 (-13.1) | 131.5 (-8.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.2 (-13.2) | 134.0 (-11.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -2.6 (-13.6) | 134.1 (-11.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -2.3 (-13.3) | 133.2 (-10.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 3-15 |
| Home | 2-11 | 5-9 |
| Away | 0-18 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L27 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#331) | -13.1 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.06 (#353) | -1.75 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.12 (#353) | -2.36 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.336 (#353) | 0.422 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.