Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -9.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -8.4 (+3.4) | 133.9 (-20.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -10.0 (+5.0) | 140.0 (-27.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -8.8 (+3.8) | 139.7 (-26.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -9.3 (+4.3) | 138.6 (-25.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 62.4 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#286) | 6.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#295) | 1.02 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#290) | 1.46 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#273) | 0.543 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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