Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +28 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | UK -3.6 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+43.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -4.6 (+23.4) | 146.6 (+39.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -4.2 (+23.8) | 143.2 (+42.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -4.6 (+23.4) | 144.3 (+41.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -4.5 (+23.5) | 146.4 (+39.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#10) | 17.9 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#34) | 2.78 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#26) | 3.69 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#53) | 0.624 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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