Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -3.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -2.2 (+7.8) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -2.5 (+7.5) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -2.4 (+7.6) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -2.0 (+8.0) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#226) | -2.8 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#256) | -1.11 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#235) | -1.12 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#243) | 0.449 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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