Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -0.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -2.4 (-8.4) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -1.8 (-7.8) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.9 (-6.9) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -1.4 (-7.4) | 145.1 (+0.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTM 64 – 49 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UTM 86 – 62 TNTC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | UTM 70 – 67 TNTC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | TNTC 71 – 66 UTM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TNTC 89 – 85 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#276) | -3.2 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#245) | -2.14 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#250) | -2.29 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#253) | 0.410 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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