And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–11 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +4.8 141.0 73% 68–78 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +9.7 130.3 82% 57–78 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +7.3 134.1 76% 58–68 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +7.0 137.8 77% 60–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +3.7 146.5 62% 97–64 ✗
Butler @ Georgetown +3.5 135.5 61% 72–58 ✗
Colgate @ Navy +6.6 134.8 77% 69–50 ✗
UTSA @ Old Dominion +10.4 140.7 82% 51–83 ✓
North Texas @ Marshall -6.7 135.2 20% 69–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech +20.2 139.7 90% 57–80 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee +4.1 138.7 68% 57–70 ✓
UTEP @ Charlotte +1.2 138.4 55% 53–66 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +5.3 145.3 71% 80–86 ✓
Wright State @ Robert Morris -3.3 150.4 28% 75–73 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +3.5 137.2 54% 68–67 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State -0.3 150.8 52% 70–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.6 140.1 48% 60–62 ✗
VMI @ Mercer +1.2 150.0 61% 91–97 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -1.5 135.8 37% 69–74 ✗
Florida International @ UAB +18.1 149.3 89% 56–84 ✓
Tennessee State @ Murray State +17.5 149.7 90% 44–67 ✓
Sam Houston @ Lamar -5.7 129.9 24% 73–56 ✓
Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +7.6 146.5 78% 63–85 ✓
UIC @ Milwaukee +0.4 135.9 44% 81–77 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +7.5 121.1 82% 54–69 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +9.2 142.2 81% 56–80 ✓
Louisiana @ UT Arlington -0.0 140.0 50% 73–83 ✗
Denver @ South Dakota +5.7 140.8 80% 71–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota -9.5 153.3 22% 73–68 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Belmont +18.5 147.7 89% 77–92 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -13.9 164.3 15% 95–86 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -10.6 129.4 13% 66–53 ✓
Rice @ Western Kentucky +6.3 153.3 77% 66–80 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +13.7 158.6 89% 74–84 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +4.0 134.5 70% 68–95 ✓
Tarleton State @ New Mexico State +7.4 133.2 76% 57–73 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +7.3 146.7 78% 65–74 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +5.5 152.5 76% 74–83 ✓
Oregon @ UCLA +11.0 142.3 83% 84–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -1.4 147.0 44% 58–65 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +8.6 131.8 82% 64–79 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -7.0 125.2 27% 57–46 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +4.9 137.3 75% 63–68 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +10.9 155.0 84% 84–110 ✓
Oregon State @ USC +14.4 144.7 88% 71–81 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +15.2 150.4 89% 55–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -10.0 132.8 20% 77–62 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +10.5 137.5 86% 73–97 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -5.7 130.3 29% 56–72 ✗
Buffalo @ Ball State -5.7 155.8 28% 74–68 ✓
Nebraska @ Purdue +20.8 160.2 91% 65–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.