Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | ODU -700 UTSA +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +32 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -14.2 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -10.4 (+21.6) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -10.6 (+21.4) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -10.8 (+21.2) | 137.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -9.9 (+22.1) | 138.1 (-4.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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