Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.0 Over |
| Money | OMA +850 SDST -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +9 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -16.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -13.9 (+4.9) | 164.3 (+16.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -13.6 (+4.6) | 164.6 (+16.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -13.7 (+4.7) | 166.3 (+14.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -13.6 (+4.6) | 165.4 (+15.6) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 18-0 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-0 |
| Away | 0-15 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#344) | 6.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#334) | 1.27 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#328) | 1.35 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#324) | 0.578 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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