Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | MUR -10000 TNST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +23 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -23.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -17.5 (+5.5) | 151.3 (-40.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -17.5 (+5.5) | 149.7 (-38.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -18.6 (+4.4) | 150.1 (-39.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -18.4 (+4.6) | 151.5 (-40.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | MUR 73 – 62 TNST |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MUR 73 – 53 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 11-1 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#38) | -9.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#42) | -1.93 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#51) | -2.52 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#30) | 0.348 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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