Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -900 TNST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -8.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -6.8 (+13.2) | 131.5 (-5.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -7.1 (+12.9) | 133.0 (-7.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -6.9 (+13.1) | 134.3 (-8.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -6.1 (+13.9) | 131.9 (-5.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | MUR 73 – 62 TNST |
| Jan 14, 2022 | MUR 67 – 44 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 4-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#216) | -9.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#293) | -2.90 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#280) | -3.40 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#296) | 0.344 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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