Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TNST +800 MUR -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -17.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -14.7 (+3.7) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -13.2 (+2.2) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -13.6 (+2.6) | 140.3 (-5.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -12.7 (+1.7) | 140.3 (-5.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2022 | MUR 67 – 44 TNST |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MUR 73 – 53 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 18-0 |
| Home | 8-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 63.4 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#307) | 11.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#309) | 2.80 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#314) | 3.28 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#332) | 0.607 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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