Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | USC -1400 ORST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | USC -18.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -15.1 (-5.1) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -14.4 (-4.4) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -15.3 (-5.3) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -15.1 (-5.1) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2024 | USC 82 – 54 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORST 86 – 70 USC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ORST 61 – 58 USC |
| Dec 5, 2022 | USC 63 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 25, 2022 | USC 94 – 91 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-13 |
| Away | 9-3 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#21) | -0.6 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#12) | -1.18 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.03 (#17) | -0.74 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#14) | 0.458 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.