Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | USC -1200 ORST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | USC -14.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -9.3 (-8.3) | 136.6 (-11.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -13.4 (-12.4) | 134.9 (-9.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -8.8 (-7.8) | 135.8 (-10.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -9.0 (-8.0) | 135.7 (-10.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2024 | USC 82 – 54 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORST 86 – 70 USC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ORST 61 – 58 USC |
| Feb 25, 2022 | USC 94 – 91 ORST |
| Jan 14, 2022 | USC 81 – 71 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | -4.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#159) | -0.64 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#154) | -1.25 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#172) | 0.438 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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