I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
UCLA Bruins
81 – 84 OT
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Pac-12 Conference · Pauley Pavilion · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -10.0 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money UCLA -550 / ORE +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual ORE +3 165 Lost
Massey UCLA -13.1 (-16.1) — —
Massey Totals — 146.7 (+18.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -11.0 (-14.0) 142.3 (+22.7) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -12.5 (-15.5) 147.2 (+17.8) 87% ✗
Baseline ML UCLA -11.7 (-14.7) 146.7 (+18.3) 82% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -11.8 (-14.8) 145.8 (+19.2) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 UCLA 73 – 57 ORE
Dec 6, 2025 UCLA 74 – 63 ORE
Jan 31, 2025 UCLA 78 – 52 ORE
Dec 8, 2024 UCLA 73 – 71 ORE
Mar 14, 2024 ORE 68 – 66 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ORE
Overall 27-8 20-15
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 14-1 12-5
Away 8-4 6-6
Neutral 5-3 1-4
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 72.3
Avg Pts Against 64.5 70.3
Massey 15.2 (#15) 5.9 (#96)
Bradley-Terry 3.48 (#8) 0.93 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.56 (#9) 1.50 (#90)
RPI 0.640 (#13) 0.552 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ORE
FG% 45.6% 46.8%
3PT% 38.1% 35.3%
REB / G 39.9 33.7
OREB / G 12.7 10.5
AST / TO 1.63 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 53.0%
TOV% 13.6% 18.1%
ORB% 34.0% 32.2%
FT Rate 18.9% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 20.0%
DRB% 77.9% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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