Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | CSUF -650 CSUN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -12.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -8.6 (+6.4) | 131.8 (+11.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -8.8 (+6.2) | 131.4 (+11.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -9.2 (+5.8) | 133.9 (+9.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -8.4 (+6.6) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#146) | -7.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#173) | -0.65 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#174) | -0.73 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#176) | 0.463 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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