Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | USD -320 PORT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | USD -7.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -4.9 (+0.1) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -4.6 (+0.4) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -4.9 (+0.1) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -4.9 (+0.1) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#202) | -4.9 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#191) | -0.44 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#168) | -0.83 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#195) | 0.440 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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