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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–16 on winners spread MAE 8.7 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Wake Forest -2.0 150.1 43% 76–64 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +9.7 141.1 82% 69–71 ✓
LSU @ Florida -2.2 137.1 47% 64–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa +0.1 134.2 44% 69–64 ✗
Memphis @ UCF +1.2 144.0 62% 64–74 ✓
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +9.0 143.0 81% 71–79 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +11.9 140.0 88% 62–76 ✓
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T +7.7 133.8 81% 59–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +8.5 131.9 81% 61–64 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +14.4 131.5 88% 52–67 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame +1.2 137.7 60% 56–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Vermont +12.3 143.0 84% 65–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -2.0 130.4 40% 47–57 ✗
UMBC @ NJIT +0.2 142.5 47% 76–56 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +6.6 139.0 77% 64–75 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham +3.5 140.2 67% 71–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -12.7 148.7 18% 59–70 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +8.7 140.1 82% 64–87 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman +7.2 144.3 79% 69–78 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +2.4 135.6 67% 66–73 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State +13.1 142.8 87% 72–88 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +17.7 139.2 90% 51–80 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate +0.8 141.6 54% 65–66 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +4.0 148.1 74% 72–77 ✓
Tulane @ Wichita State +8.8 144.4 81% 68–67 ✗
South Florida @ SMU +12.6 134.6 86% 65–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Missouri State +7.9 131.3 79% 76–81 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +13.7 152.6 88% 75–86 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +10.4 132.2 84% 47–79 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +12.3 153.7 86% 78–86 ✓
NC State @ Louisville +7.2 146.9 77% 79–63 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Virginia -0.7 119.9 54% 52–54 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College +2.1 132.0 62% 81–76 ✗
TCU @ Kansas State +0.6 131.1 46% 60–57 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +11.9 148.2 87% 43–87 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern +5.8 140.2 71% 94–87 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -8.1 141.6 26% 84–70 ✓
California @ Washington -0.2 134.4 59% 55–64 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +7.4 143.6 76% 79–76 ✗
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -1.2 140.6 50% 65–71 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -4.0 139.8 29% 85–70 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kennesaw State +0.2 151.7 48% 53–77 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -3.3 148.0 44% 92–96 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +6.4 136.5 71% 62–57 ✗
Boston University @ Army -2.1 138.8 46% 63–73 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ App State +0.5 129.6 61% 60–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.