Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | APP -160 CCU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | APP -0.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -0.5 (+0.5) | 129.6 (-8.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -1.0 (-0.0) | 131.5 (-10.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -0.7 (+0.3) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -1.1 (-0.1) | 130.9 (-9.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCU 67 – 62 APP |
| Dec 18, 2025 | APP 67 – 49 CCU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | APP 64 – 46 CCU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | APP 74 – 51 CCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | APP 88 – 59 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#206) | 1.5 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#176) | -0.10 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#162) | 0.04 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#145) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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