Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +600 UTC -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -14.6 (+25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -12.7 (+23.7) | 148.7 (-19.7) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -14.1 (+25.1) | 153.0 (-24.0) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -13.7 (+24.7) | 152.4 (-23.4) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -13.9 (+24.9) | 149.0 (-20.0) | 14% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#292) | 11.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#240) | 2.26 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#244) | 2.71 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#254) | 0.614 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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