Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -417 EVAN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +32 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -13.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.4 (+21.6) | 132.2 (-6.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -9.9 (+22.1) | 133.8 (-7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.1 (+21.9) | 133.9 (-7.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.5 (+22.5) | 134.7 (-8.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BRAD 94 – 90 EVAN |
| Dec 30, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 68 EVAN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | BRAD 80 – 74 EVAN |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EVAN 73 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 50 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 58.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | -6.0 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#234) | -2.22 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#221) | -2.35 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#235) | 0.398 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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