Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +120 DUQ -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -6.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -3.5 (-2.5) | 140.2 (+2.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -5.0 (-4.0) | 138.7 (+4.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -4.8 (-3.8) | 138.5 (+4.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -5.1 (-4.1) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-16 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#145) | -1.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#157) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#140) | -0.30 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#167) | 0.468 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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