Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | MORE -1100 UTM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -11.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.9 (+2.1) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.5 (+4.5) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.2 (+3.8) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -10.2 (+3.8) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#132) | -6.3 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#86) | -0.73 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#101) | -0.96 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#96) | 0.456 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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