Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -135 BOIS +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -4.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.0 (-11.0) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.4 (-11.6) | 139.2 (+15.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.6 (-11.4) | 140.1 (+14.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.8 (-10.2) | 139.6 (+15.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#133) | 10.2 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#121) | 1.32 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#118) | 1.84 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#83) | 0.571 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.