Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -650 STBK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +33 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -13.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -12.3 (+20.7) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -10.5 (+22.5) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.4 (+21.6) | 144.4 (+18.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -10.4 (+22.6) | 142.2 (+20.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | UVM 80 – 67 STBK |
| Feb 14, 2021 | UVM 61 – 57 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UVM 86 – 78 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 13-4 |
| Away | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#97) | -3.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#95) | 0.29 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#95) | 0.40 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#86) | 0.492 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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