Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -600 STBK +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -14.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -9.5 (-1.5) | 136.0 (+28.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -12.3 (-4.3) | 134.1 (+29.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.0 (-3.0) | 136.6 (+27.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -8.3 (-0.3) | 136.9 (+27.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | UVM 80 – 67 STBK |
| Jan 13, 2022 | UVM 98 – 65 STBK |
| Feb 14, 2021 | UVM 61 – 57 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-5 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#80) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#225) | -1.05 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#167) | -1.06 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#251) | 0.467 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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