Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -7.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.0 (-7.0) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.4 (-7.6) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.4 (-6.6) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.7 (-7.3) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2022 | UVM 98 – 65 STBK |
| Feb 14, 2021 | UVM 61 – 57 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UVM 86 – 78 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 13-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#235) | 7.6 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#123) | 1.33 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#134) | 1.66 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.568 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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