Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -700 STBK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -13.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -11.0 (-7.0) | 134.3 (-16.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -13.3 (-9.3) | 136.1 (-18.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -12.9 (-8.9) | 135.5 (-17.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.3 (-8.3) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | UVM 80 – 67 STBK |
| Jan 13, 2022 | UVM 98 – 65 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UVM 86 – 78 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-5 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#81) | -3.7 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#199) | -1.08 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#157) | -1.06 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#221) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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