Betting Lines
| Spread | NJIT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT -120 UMBC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +20 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | NJIT -2.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NJIT -0.2 (-20.2) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -1.9 (-21.9) | 139.4 (-7.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -1.6 (-21.6) | 140.6 (-8.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -1.0 (-21.0) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 – 52 NJIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UMBC 87 – 74 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UMBC 95 – 91 NJIT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UMBC 87 – 64 NJIT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UMBC 79 – 60 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#259) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#217) | -0.98 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#259) | -1.04 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#253) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.